2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the ultimate four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to handle the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't love earlier times, they're dedicated to the game accessible.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, just forget about over it, the past doesn't are likely involved in your planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany never won against Italy inside a major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers here must feel it's time for Germany to win as they are the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15